Overcoming binary solutions to complex global problems

As we approach major problems in our lives or in the world, we crave simplistic solutions rather than a true understanding of the situation. We look for solutions that apply universally rather than ones that fit a specific case or variation. We become obsessed with finding the right answer to a question rather than one that meets critical needs. We become irate when others advocate their answers rather than working together to solve problems from a multitude of perspectives.

To solve problems are we down to either/or solutions? Do we benefit from tunnel thinking? Must everyone see it our way? Is advocacy causing us to miss innovative solutions? Can we only move forward in lock-step? One of the most influential books I have ever read was The Ugly American by Lederer and Burdick. The ugly American was a man who worked with the Asian population to improve their lives. He learned their language and worked within their culture to develop simple solutions to everyday problems. Reading William Kisaalita’s book Development Engineering brought back these memories.

This week I will tackle four issues that are global in scope with strong food components. My aim is to broaden the range of possibilities rather than to narrow it. It is ironic as narrowing the scope of action in my personal life is my preferred approach. When viewing global problems, however, it is important to expand opportunities rather than narrow them.

Climate change. Will conservation or technology solve the problem climate change? This debate is elegantly covered in The Wizard and the Prophet by Charles Mann. If we had approached the problem from a conservation perspective fifty years ago, we might have been successful. It appears that nothing short of technology will allow us to succeed, and it may well be too late for technology as well. All of us can practice conservation in our personal lives. We can also lobby our local and national policymakers to take global climate change seriously. Time is running out. The issue is no longer one of conservation vs. technology. It appears to be one of trying to halt change or let it take us over. The goalposts keep moving and the needed actions keep expanding. I am not optimistic that we will meet needed targets in time.

Food insecurity is a major issue around the world. While no one was paying attention, the world made great progress toward decreasing malnutrition. Health-adjusted life expectancy has been growing around the world. That result occurred despite decreases in life expectancy in wealthy countries like the USA. Such decreases are attributed to drug addiction and suicide. The war in Ukraine continues to affect shipment of grain to countries needing them most. Is this crisis a mere blip in the improving food availability around the world or is it the beginning of a downward spiral? An end to the war will help get shipments moving again, but greater diversification of grain crops around the world will reduce the threat as well.

Protein insufficiency becomes a problem in areas of the world where diets are high in carbohydrates. Sufficient animal protein is not an option for vegetarians by circumstance not by choice.  Supplementation of these diets with low-cost protein can make a big difference in nutritional quality. Alternative sources to animal protein in diets include plant-based and insect proteins. Only insects provide a low-cost alternative to dairy, egg, fish, and meat.

Most wealthy nations consume animal protein. If continued consumption becomes unsustainable or cost prohibitive, cultured meat and plant-based protein may gain more acceptance. Regenerative agriculture to produce more sustainable meat may also be an option. If protein becomes a focal point of health and sustainability, the battles between sustainability and protein sufficiency will need to stop. Why can’t we pursue all options to ensure a sustainable future without increasing malnutrition in vulnerable populations?      

Renewable energy is another flashpoint around the globe. Dependence on fossil fuels as a major source of energy does not appear to have a bright future. Wind, solar, and geothermal energy have their place, but can they replace fossil fuels to meet current and anticipated future needs? Why do we need to rely on non-nuclear sources? Can’t we push full force on wind, solar, other renewables AND nuclear? And are there tradeoffs that we must make even with wind and solar? Are we serious about ending our dependence on oil or only semi-serious?

Take home lesson. We will not solve our global problems by engaging in circular firing squads. The problems are too big to be hampered by petty jealousies. Pursuing a multitude of solutions has a greater chance of success than relying on a single major approach. We set goals for some date in the future then blow past them without assessment. We can always set more goals. The magical, deadline date for all these global problems is 2050. Will we make it? Not if we focus more on our rivals than on the problem.

Technology and business cannot be shut out of the solution space. Neither can they be allowed to dominate. Governments can either enhance the chance of success or hinder it. Middle paths must be fostered. The smallholder in any endeavor must be part of the solution not just recipient of aid or considered an obstacle to fulfillment. Climate change is real, and its devastation will increase the longer the world fails to acknowledge it. Too many families are food insecure. Can we improve conditions and extend health-adjusted life expectancy in less wealthy nations? Access to protein is limited in food-insecure families. How can we supplement their diets to improve their lives? The globe’s insatiable demand for more energy impinges on each of the other global problems. Will we join together to solve them or go down fighting each other to prove that we are right.

Coming soon: Hot news in the world of food

2 thoughts on “Overcoming binary solutions to complex global problems

  1. Lots of “meat” to respond to.Overall, I see the world as paying a price
    for longer life spans which mean more people. And especially more
    elders.The communications and industrial revolutions have accelerated
    the disintegration of the extended and now the nuclear family as we know
    them, which means smaller eating groups and less efficiency (more cost,
    more waste).   And less children. Also, cultures can change fast, and
    the reasons for eating and choosing change too, and often have little to
    do with nutrition.This goes along with social change, changing of
    interpersonal behavior and production and growing of children Darwin
    will not disappear.

    A key to food supply problems is reduction of demand: eat less,
    which may make nutritional sense here in obese USA/Canada and some of
    Europe,but less in most of the rest of the world.China and India have
    the most people, but we can’t forget countries like Indonesio, Nigeria
    and Pakistan with 200 million each, and not so far behind are Japan,
    Russia, Brazil and Mexico.Political stabilityis needed for safe
    transportation (current Ukraine crises relevant).Also, personal freedoms
    may have to compromise with what’s available.And peace should be an
    advantage for everyone.

    *Less demand may roil the world economies but maybe we can adapt if we
    keep the peace in transportation.Belongingis a strong**driver, and
    **that connects with religions which sometimes apply strong food rules,
    but even without them, the social/cultural aspects (images) of food will
    control its content as well as importance.I remember attending a wedding
    in another country, and the dinner afterward was “meh” for me that was
    used to events which show how much people can spend.I didn’t pay for my
    own wedding (in 1966) but was astonished that they bought swans made of
    ice to hold desserts. The swans melted but not too soon, and were
    expensive.For my part, I wrote the ceremony music and designed the
    invitations, and wasn’t involved in the food.Another story.*

    /My comments in bold italics:/

    Climate change. Will conservation or technology solve the problem of
    climate change? /I doubt it, but food supply and costs will change
    because of it./
    This debate is elegantly covered in /The Wizard and the
    Prophet/ https://amzn.to/421FwLp by Charles Mann. If we had approached
    the problem from a conservation perspective fifty years ago
    https://processedfoodsite.com/2019/12/17/can-we-save-the-planet-through-technology-or-conservation/,
    we might have been successful. It appears that nothing short of
    technology will allow us to succeed, /and that implies centralized
    control private or public./
    and it may well be too late for technology
    as well. All of us can practice conservation in our personal lives. We
    can also lobby our local and national policymakers to take global
    climate change seriously/. I think they do but many don’t want to pay
    now to live later, another evidence of family disintegration.Relates to
    abortion, religion, much else
    .Time is running out. I’m not sure what
    we can do, which is why I think of reduced demand, but not only for
    food.And our minds must go beyond fossil fuels.
    /The issue is no longer
    one of conservation vs. technology. It appears to be one of trying to
    halt change or let it take us over. The goalposts keep moving and the
    needed actions keep expanding. I am not optimistic that we will meet
    needed targets in time. /Neither am I, so I’m concerned with how and
    who will change./

    Food insecurityis a major issue around the world. While no one was
    paying attention, the world made great progress toward decreasing
    malnutrition. Health-adjusted life expectancy
    https://processedfoodsite.com/2022/06/14/a-fresh-perspective-on-world-hunger/
    has been growing around the world. That result occurred despite
    decreases in life expectancy in wealthy countries like the USA. Such
    decreases are attributed to drug addiction and suicide
    https://processedfoodsite.com/2021/08/10/contribution-of-processed-foods-to-lower-lifespans//.Also
    in USA rise in average age, more travel and contact with contagion,
    influx of immigrants for more risky work, proliferation of the idea that
    health care is a right not a privilege, and underneath, the management
    of death in various cultures.
    /**The war in Ukraine continues to affect
    shipment of grain to countries needing them most. Is this crisis a mere
    blip in the improving food availability around the world or is it the
    beginning of a downward spiral? An end to the war will help get
    shipments moving again, but greater diversification of grain crops
    around the world will reduce the threat as well/.And undemonizing fat,
    like it was when it meant life by resisting famines.
    /

    Protein insufficiency becomes a problem in areas of the world where
    diets are high in carbohydrates. Sufficient animal protein is not an
    option for vegetarians by circumstance not by choice
    https://processedfoodsite.com/2019/02/12/nourished-planet-sustainability-in-the-global-food-system/.
     Supplementation of these diets with low-cost protein can make a big
    difference in nutritional quality. Alternative sources to animal protein
    in diets include plant-based
    https://processedfoodsite.com/2022/09/06/advances-in-the-science-and-technology-of-plant-based-proteins/
    and insect proteins
    https://processedfoodsite.com/2022/07/05/growing-insects-for-food-another-alternative-protein/.
    Only insects provide a low-cost alternative to dairy, egg, fish, and
    meat.
    /Sounds like you’ve given up on high-protein plants like lentils
    and peanuts, but (next para) you haven’t. ///

    Most wealthy nations consume animal protein. If continued consumption
    becomes unsustainable or cost prohibitive, cultured meat
    https://processedfoodsite.com/2019/03/13/cultured-meat-production-what-is-it-what-should-we-expect-by-kelsey-tenney/
    and plant-based protein may gain more acceptance. Regenerative
    agriculture
    https://www.wellandgood.com/what-is-regenerative-meat/#:~:text=In%20general%2C%20regenerative%20meat%20describes%20meat%20products%20that,matter%20in%20soil%20and%20restoring%20degraded%20soil%20biodiversity.
    to produce more sustainable meat may also be an option. If protein
    becomes a focal point of health and sustainability, the battles between
    sustainability and protein sufficiency will need to stop. Why can’t we
    pursue all options to ensure a sustainable future without increasing
    malnutrition in vulnerable populations? /Big question needs addressing,
    I don’t have answer/
    .Closest food cultures today are Japan/China and
    Italy where animal protein is topping to a grain.

    Renewable energy *is another flashpoint around the globe. Dependence on
    fossil fuels as a major source of energy does not appear to have a
    bright future. Wind, solar, and geothermal energy have their place, but
    can they replace fossil fuels to meet current and anticipated future
    needs? Why do we need to rely on non-nuclear sources? Can’t we push full
    force on wind, solar, other renewables AND nuclear? And are there
    tradeoffs that we must make even with wind and solar? */Yes, who pays
    for them and repairs and are they centralized?/
    Are we serious about
    ending our dependence on oil or only semi-serious?/No need 100% of most
    anything/
    .

    Take home lesson.We will not solve our global problems by engaging in
    circular firing squads. The problems are too big to be hampered by petty
    jealousies. Pursuing a multitude of solutions has a greater chance of
    success than relying on a single major approach. We set goals for some
    date in the future then blow past them without assessment. We can always
    set more goals. The magical, deadline date for all these global problems
    is 2050
    https://processedfoodsite.com/2022/07/26/challenges-to-feeding-the-world-from-now-to-2050/.
    Will we make it? Not if we focus more on our rivals than on the
    problem./Team philosophy: rivals are teammates, but this maybe different./

    Technology and business cannot be shut out of the solution space.
    Neither can they be allowed to dominate. Governments can either enhance
    the chance of success or hinder it. Middle paths must be fostered. The
    smallholder in any endeavor must be part of the solution not just
    recipient of aid or considered an obstacle to fulfillment
    https://processedfoodsite.com/2023/03/02/a-third-way-to-fight-hunger-in-africa/.
    Climate change is real, and its devastation will increase the longer the
    world fails to acknowledge it. Too many families are food insecure. Can
    we improve conditions and extend health-adjusted life expectancy in less
    wealthy nations? Access to protein (/and fat-carbs?)/ is limited in
    food-insecure families. /Can we convert food and ag waste to
    digestibles?/
    How can we supplement their diets to improve their lives?
    The globe’s insatiable demand for more energy impinges on each of the
    other global problems. Will we join together to solve them or go down
    fighting each other to prove that we are right.

    Like

    1. WOW. I awakened the sleeping giant! I think we are two opinionated old people who have a diversion of perspective here. I agree that we have a demand problem which accompanies a maldistribution problem. The point I was trying to make is that there are many potential solutions to complex problems, and that there needs to be room for many different paths to a solution. You point out some weaknesses in my argument. If we put as much time and energy into our solutions as we do in trying to shoot down others, maybe we would be better off. Perhaps I should refrain from waxing so philosophical! Thanks for your comments.

      Like

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